October 2026: 12 Atlas calls from 22 gold windows, and 1 of the 12 went to the opposing rail
The monthly summary of every 60-minute initial balance window from 09:00 that Atlas IB (GC) read on COMEX gold in October 2026: which rail the tables favoured, and which one price reached. Daily charts are no longer published. From October 2026 the record tracks the 60-minute window only; the weekly record up to 28 September also shows the 30-minute window and sets out the method in full.
The month at a glance
Every 60-minute window the indicator produced this month, grouped by the week it fell in. Rows are placed by trade date, so a week that runs across the turn of a month is split by date between the pages that cover it.
| Window | Box | Regime | Mult | ▲ / ▼ / ∅ | Target | Mode | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week commencing 28 September | |||||||
| Thu 1 Oct | 23.1 pt | compressed | ×1 | 12 / 28 / 61 | 23.1 pt | abstain | no target hit |
| Fri 2 Oct NFP | 48.3 pt | expanded | ×0.25 | 20 / 62 / 18 | 12.1 pt | Atlas short | down rail ✓ |
| Week commencing 5 October | |||||||
| Mon 5 Oct | 26.9 pt | normal | ×0.5 | 14 / 51 / 35 | 13.4 pt | Atlas short | no target hit |
| Tue 6 Oct | 23.2 pt | normal | ×0.5 | 13 / 53 / 34 | 11.6 pt | Atlas short | no target hit |
| Wed 7 Oct FOMC minutes | 17.4 pt | compressed | ×1 | 29 / 10 / 61 | 17.4 pt | abstain | up rail ✓ |
| Thu 8 Oct | 19.7 pt | compressed | ×1 | 25 / 12 / 62 | 19.7 pt | abstain | no target hit |
| Fri 9 Oct | 22.7 pt | normal | ×0.5 | 46 / 22 / 32 | 11.4 pt | Atlas long | no target hit |
| Week commencing 12 October | |||||||
| Mon 12 Oct | 12.7 pt | compressed | ×1 | 25 / 12 / 62 | 12.7 pt | abstain | no target hit |
| Tue 13 Oct | 21.6 pt | normal | ×0.5 | 13 / 53 / 34 | 10.8 pt | Atlas short | down rail ✓ |
| Wed 14 Oct CPI | 27.8 pt | normal | ×0.5 | 24 / 44 / 32 | 13.9 pt | Atlas short | no target hit |
| Thu 15 Oct PPI + retail sales | 24.5 pt | normal | ×0.5 | 30 / 40 / 30 | 12.3 pt | abstain | no target hit |
| Fri 16 Oct | 35.8 pt | expanded | ×0.25 | 63 / 21 / 16 | 9.0 pt | Atlas long | up rail ✓ |
| Week commencing 19 October | |||||||
| Mon 19 Oct | 24.8 pt | normal | ×0.5 | 30 / 40 / 30 | 12.4 pt | abstain | no target hit |
| Tue 20 Oct | 21.7 pt | normal | ×0.5 | 41 / 27 / 32 | 10.9 pt | abstain | up rail ✓ |
| Wed 21 Oct | 12.0 pt | compressed | ×1 | 8 / 35 / 56 | 12.0 pt | abstain | down rail ✓ |
| Thu 22 Oct | 35.2 pt | expanded | ×0.25 | 14 / 67 / 19 | 8.8 pt | Atlas short | down rail ✓ |
| Fri 23 Oct | 19.6 pt | normal | ×0.5 | 24 / 44 / 32 | 9.8 pt | Atlas short | down rail ✓ |
| Week commencing 26 October | |||||||
| Mon 26 Oct | 29.7 pt | expanded | ×0.25 | 15 / 67 / 18 | 7.4 pt | Atlas short | up rail ✗ |
| Tue 27 Oct | 12.4 pt | compressed | ×1 | 25 / 12 / 62 | 12.4 pt | abstain | up rail ✓ |
| Wed 28 Oct FOMC | 12.6 pt | compressed | ×1 | 13 / 28 / 59 | 12.6 pt | abstain | down rail ✓ |
| Thu 29 Oct GDP + PCE | 18.3 pt | normal | ×0.5 | 14 / 51 / 35 | 9.2 pt | Atlas short | down rail ✓ |
| Fri 30 Oct | 40.1 pt | expanded | ×0.25 | 15 / 67 / 18 | 10.0 pt | Atlas short | down rail ✓ |
A tag under a date marks a high-impact USD release that day (times ET): 2 Oct 08:30, non-farm payrolls, average hourly earnings and the unemployment rate; 7 Oct 14:00, FOMC meeting minutes; 14 Oct 08:30, CPI and core CPI; 15 Oct 08:30, PPI, core PPI, retail sales and core retail sales; 28 Oct 14:00, the Federal Funds Rate and FOMC statement, with the press conference at 14:30; 29 Oct 08:30, Advance GDP and Core PCE. The tag records timing only and is not offered as a cause.
The record so far
One row per calendar month since the record began, 60-minute windows only in every month, scored the same way as the cards above.
| Month | Rail reached | Favoured rail | Atlas calls | Atlas score ✅ / ❌ / ∅ | ✅ called way | Abstained |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 13 / 22 | 12 / 13 | 12 | 7 / 1 / 4 | 88% | 10 |
| September 2026 | 11 / 22 | 6 / 11 | 8 | 2 / 2 / 4 | 50% | 14 |
| August 2026 | 11 / 16 | 6 / 11 | 9 | 3 / 3 / 3 | 50% | 7 |
| Since 10 August 2026 | 35 / 60 | 24 / 35 | 29 | 12 / 6 / 11 | 67% | 31 |
This is a running tally over a small number of windows, published as it accumulates. It is not a performance record and not a return: no entries, exits, position sizing or costs are modelled anywhere on these pages.
How to read this page
Rail reached counts the windows in which price touched one of the two targets by the close; reaching neither is a stated outcome, not a failure.
Favoured rail counts, of those, the windows that reached the side with the larger stated share first, whether or not the indicator called it.
Atlas mode means the window cleared the gate (direction at least 62% of the decided share, with at least half of comparable sessions resolving) and offered a direction.
The multiplier is an output of the box regime, not a setting: the full multiple for a compressed box, a half for a normal one, a quarter for an expanded one.
A window that does not clear the gate abstains: its rail labels say abstain and it offers no direction, but it is still scored on the favoured rail.
The Atlas score splits every Atlas call three ways: the favoured rail reached first, the opposing rail reached first, or neither by the close. The opposing share divides the second figure by every call, neither included: a call is made before anyone knows whether either rail will be reached, so every call counts.
Called way divides the first figure by the calls that reached a rail (the first two figures), so calls that reached neither rail are left out of it.