🥇 Gold · US AM · October 2026

October 2026: the side the tables favoured went first on 17 of 22 gold sessions, and the branch rated highest landed on 13

The monthly summary of every US AM session Atlas Sessions (GC) read on gold in October 2026: what the tables stated at the open about the Eurasia high and low, and what price did by the close. Daily charts are no longer published. How each session is scored is set out below and, with the daily charts, in the weekly record up to the week of 28 September 2026.

None of these sessions were in the sample. The Atlas tables were measured on history that ended before the record began.

The month at a glance

Every session the indicator produced this month, grouped by the week it fell in. Rows are placed by trade date, so a week that runs across the turn of a month is split by date between the pages that cover it.

77%
of sessions: the side the tables favoured went first (17 of 22), against a mean stated 78%
13 / 22
sessions that landed the four-way branch rated highest
57%
of levels taken (25 of 44), against a mean stated 50%
2
inside sessions, which took neither level
SessionEurasia rangeFour-wayModalOutcome First sweepHighLow
Week commencing 28 September
Thu 1 Oct44.4 pt 48 / 19 / 4 / 29 high onlyinside ✗▲ 70% ✗ 52% → no23% → no
Fri 2 Oct
NFP
33.8 pt 29 / 45 / 14 / 12 low onlyboth sides ✗▼ 62% ✗ 43% → 08:3059% → 10:50
Week commencing 5 October
Mon 5 Oct41.5 pt 48 / 19 / 4 / 29 high onlylow only ✗▲ 70% ✗ 52% → no23% → 11:20
Tue 6 Oct63.1 pt 70 / 2 / 2 / 26 high onlyhigh only ✓▲ 97% ✓ 72% → 08:004% → no
Wed 7 Oct
FOMC minutes
30.9 pt 29 / 45 / 14 / 12 low onlylow only ✓▼ 62% ✓ 43% → no59% → 08:25
Thu 8 Oct24.0 pt 45 / 24 / 27 / 4 high onlyhigh only ✓▲ 65% ✓ 72% → 09:5051% → no
Fri 9 Oct34.2 pt 11 / 69 / 13 / 7 low onlylow only ✓▼ 87% ✓ 24% → no82% → 08:50
Week commencing 12 October
Mon 12 Oct25.5 pt 12 / 59 / 27 / 2 low onlylow only ✓▼ 84% ✓ 39% → no86% → 08:20
Tue 13 Oct18.2 pt 24 / 41 / 29 / 6 low onlylow only ✓▼ 63% ✓ 53% → no70% → 08:50
Wed 14 Oct
CPI
28.8 pt 11 / 69 / 13 / 7 low onlylow only ✓▼ 87% ✓ 24% → no82% → 08:30
Thu 15 Oct
PPI + retail sales
29.4 pt 29 / 45 / 14 / 12 low onlyboth sides ✗▼ 62% ✓ 43% → 09:1559% → 08:30
Fri 16 Oct23.9 pt 12 / 59 / 27 / 2 low onlyboth sides ✗▼ 84% ✓ 39% → 10:0086% → 08:55
Week commencing 19 October
Mon 19 Oct30.1 pt 11 / 69 / 13 / 7 low onlylow only ✓▼ 87% ✓ 24% → no82% → 08:00
Tue 20 Oct25.5 pt 29 / 45 / 14 / 12 low onlyhigh only ✗▼ 62% ✗ 43% → 10:1559% → no
Wed 21 Oct31.8 pt 76 / 7 / 5 / 12 high onlyhigh only ✓▲ 92% ✓ 81% → 08:0012% → no
Thu 22 Oct46.3 pt 2 / 65 / 1 / 32 low onlylow only ✓▼ 97% ✓ 3% → no66% → 09:45
Fri 23 Oct21.9 pt ~55 / ~22 / ~10 / ~13 high onlyboth sides ✗▲ 72% ✓ ~65% → 08:45~32% → 10:10
Week commencing 26 October
Mon 26 Oct20.3 pt 45 / 24 / 27 / 4 high onlyboth sides ✗▲ 65% ✓ 72% → 08:2551% → 09:30
Tue 27 Oct28.2 pt 71 / 11 / 14 / 4 high onlyhigh only ✓▲ 87% ✓ 85% → 08:0525% → no
Wed 28 Oct
FOMC
31.5 pt 48 / 19 / 4 / 29 high onlyhigh only ✓▲ 70% ✓ 52% → 08:2023% → no
Thu 29 Oct
GDP + PCE
28.5 pt 11 / 69 / 13 / 7 low onlyinside ✗▼ 87% ✗ 24% → no82% → no
Fri 30 Oct47.5 pt 2 / 65 / 1 / 32 low onlylow only ✓▼ 97% ✓ 3% → no66% → 08:00

A tag under a date marks a high-impact USD release that day (times ET): 2 Oct 08:30, non-farm payrolls, average hourly earnings and the unemployment rate; 7 Oct 14:00, FOMC meeting minutes; 14 Oct 08:30, CPI and core CPI; 15 Oct 08:30, PPI, core PPI, retail sales and core retail sales; 28 Oct 14:00, the Federal Funds Rate and FOMC statement, with the press conference at 14:30; 29 Oct 08:30, Advance GDP and Core PCE. The tag records timing only and is not offered as a cause.

The record so far

One row per calendar month since the record began, scored the same way as the cards above.

MonthFirst sweepModal branchLevels takenFirst sweep called
October 202617 / 2213 / 2225 / 4477%
September 202618 / 2215 / 2224 / 4482%
August 202610 / 167 / 1621 / 3263%
Since 10 August 202645 / 6035 / 6070 / 12075%

This is a running tally over a small number of sessions, published as it accumulates. It is not a performance record and not a return: no entries, exits, position sizing or costs are modelled anywhere on these pages.

How to read this page

First sweep asks whether the side the tables favoured was the first level taken; a session that took neither level counts as a miss.

Modal branch asks whether the four-way outcome landed on the branch rated highest, out of high only, low only, both sides and inside.

Levels taken scores the Eurasia high and low independently, two events per session, against the mean of the stated probabilities.

Inside counts the sessions that took neither level.

A ~ before a share marks a cell whose shares moved materially between market eras, so the indicator is quoting an approximate figure rather than a settled one.